Iowa vs. Connecticut prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 8, 2026

Connecticut is favored to beat Iowa at M&T Bank Center at Harry A. Gampel Pavilion on Sunday (2:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' women's basketball model.

Our Iowa vs. Connecticut prediction gives the Hawkeyes a 94.7% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Connecticut moneyline, too.

Iowa vs. Connecticut key predictions

• Predicted score: Connecticut 76-55 Iowa
• Connecticut win probability: 94.7%
• Iowa win probability: 5.3%
• Connecticut -13.5 spread: 57.8% cover probability
• Under 138.5 points: 54.7% probability

Our women's basketball predictions start with projected final scores for both teams, based on each team's recent and long-term efficiency at both ends of the floor, adjusted for the matchup.

We pair those projections with historical scoring trends to calculate win, spread, and total probabilities, then compare them with current odds to find betting value.

Iowa vs. Connecticut odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Iowa moneyline: +575 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Connecticut moneyline: -800 (DraftKings)
• Iowa +13.5: -110 (DraftKings)
• Connecticut -13.5: -110 (DraftKings)
• Over 138.5 points: -110 (DraftKings)
• Under 138.5 points: -110 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Iowa vs. Connecticut pick: Connecticut ML (-800)

Our model makes Connecticut the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Hawkeyes moneyline at -800 on DraftKings, too.

Those odds give Connecticut an implied win probability of 88.9%, while our model puts it at 94.7%.

That's a 5.8% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Iowa vs. Connecticut game details

• Matchup: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Connecticut Huskies
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET
• Venue: M&T Bank Center at Harry A. Gampel Pavilion

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our women's basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.