Best WNBA bets today: Thursday's picks include Aces vs. Storm play [9/17/2026]

Storm +9.5 (+105)

• Edge: 12.8%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Storm +9.5 at 49¢ odds. A 61.5% probability produces an edge of 12.8%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

Mystics vs. Sky Over 165.5 points (+108)

• Edge: 10.4%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Matchup: Mystics vs. Sky (8:00PM ET)

Mystics vs. Sky over 165.5 points carries a 10.4% edge and a probability of 58.5% at 48¢ odds, according to our model.

Sun vs. Dream Over 168.5 points (+104)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Sun vs. Dream (7:30PM ET)

Sun vs. Dream Over 168.5 points at 49¢ odds shows a 7.3% edge, supported by a 56.3% probability in simulations.

Sun +15.5 (+104)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Matchup: Sun vs. Dream (7:30PM ET)

A 6.2% edge and 55.2% probability makes Sun +15.5 vs. Dream a value play in the Sun vs. Dream matchup, per our model.

Sky +3.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Mystics vs. Sky (8:00PM ET)

Sky +3.5 at -110 presents a 6.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.4%.

Sparks +8.5 (-104)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 57%
• Matchup: Sparks vs. Wings (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Sparks +8.5 at 51¢, supported by an edge of 6.0%.

Storm ML (+426)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 24.9%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Aces-Storm to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at 19¢. A 24.9% probability produces a 5.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

Fire +2.5 (+100)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Matchup: Mercury vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)

A 3.1% edge on a 53.1% probability makes Fire +2.5 at 50¢a solid value play in today's Mercury vs. Fire matchup.

Aces vs. StormUnder 174.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 52.5%
• Matchup: Aces vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Under 174.5 points at 50¢. A 52.5% probability produces a 2.5% edge, making the Under the favorable side in today's matchup.

WNBA best bets summary: Thursday, 9/17/2026

As of 3:35AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [9/17/2026]

• Sun vs. Dream (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Mystics vs. Sky (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Sparks vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Mercury vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Aces vs. Storm (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for September 17, 2026, featuring plays such as Storm +9.5 vs. Aces and over 165.5 points in the Mystics vs. Sky matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.