Sep 23, 2026
WNBA player props today: Wednesday's best props include Arike Ogunbowale [9/23/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, September 23, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 9/23.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, September 23, 2026—are live with the Wings' Paige Bueckers projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections are based on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Bueckers, Flau'jae Johnson and Breanna Stewart lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also spotlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (September 23, 2026)
- Paige Bueckers (Wings): 15.0% probability
- Flau'jae Johnson (Storm): 13.6% probability
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 13.4% probability
- Angel Reese (Dream): 13.4% probability
- Dominique Malonga (Storm): 13.4% probability
- Jonquel Jones (Liberty): 12.8% probability
- Rhyne Howard (Dream): 11.1% probability
- Allisha Gray (Dream): 10.9% probability
- Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 9.9% probability
- Maddy Siegrist (Wings): 9.6% probability
- Jessica Shepard (Wings): 9.4% probability
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 9.2% probability
- Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty): 8.7% probability
- Jade Melbourne (Storm): 8.2% probability
- Jordin Canada (Dream): 7.7% probability
- Awa Fam (Storm): 7.5% probability
- Natisha Hiedeman (Storm): 7.4% probability
- Naz Hillmon (Dream): 6.9% probability
- Awak Kuier (Wings): 6.1% probability
- Leonie Fiebich (Liberty): 5.8% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (September 23, 2026)
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 2.5% edge at +1400
- Flau'jae Johnson (Storm): 1.8% edge at +750
- Jordin Canada (Dream): 1.5% edge at +1500
- Paige Bueckers (Wings): 0.7% edge at +600
- Allisha Gray (Dream): 0.5% edge at +860
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 9/23.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Wednesday, September 23, 2026, Paige Bueckers, Flau'jae Johnson and Breanna Stewart lead our first basket projections, while Pauline Astier shapes as the strongest value play at +1400. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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