Oct 1, 2026
WNBA Playoffs player props today: Thursday's best props include A'ja Wilson [10/1/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Playoffs today, Thursday, October 1, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 10/1.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Thursday, October 1, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Jackie Young and Kelsey Mitchell lead Thursday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA Playoffs first basket predictions tonight (October 1, 2026)
- A'ja Wilson (Aces): 18.1% probability
- Jackie Young (Aces): 14.5% probability
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 13.1% probability
- Caitlin Clark (Fever): 12.2% probability
- Aliyah Boston (Fever): 11.7% probability
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 8.1% probability
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 7.9% probability
- Makayla Timpson (Fever): 7.4% probability
- Lexie Hull (Fever): 5.6% probability
- Brianna Turner (Aces): 1.4% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (October 1, 2026)
- Jackie Young (Aces): 3.4% edge at +800
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 2.0% edge at +1600
- Lexie Hull (Fever): 0.8% edge at +2000
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 10/1.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For the Playoffs action on Thursday, October 1, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Kelsey Mitchell lead our first basket projections, with Young shaping as the strongest value play at +800. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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