WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, July 31, 2026
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/31.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Friday, July 31, 2026—are live with the Dream's Allisha Gray projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Gray, Kelsey Mitchell and Megan Gustafson lead Friday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 31, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 14.2% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 14.0% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 13.7% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 13.6% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 13.4% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 13.2% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 12.8% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 12.8% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 12.2% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 12.2% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 11.9% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 11.7% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 10.5% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 10.4% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 10.0% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 9.9% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 9.8% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 9.8% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 9.0% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 8.8% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 7.8% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 7.6% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 7.3% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 7.2% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 7.1% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 6.6% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 6.2% |
| Lexie Hull (Fever) | 5.7% |
| Nyadiew Puoch (Fire) | 5.3% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 5.2% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 31, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 2.4% | +750 | 14.2% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 1.7% | +900 | 11.7% |
| Carla Leite | Fire | 1.7% | +850 | 12.2% |
| Arike Ogunbowale | Wings | 1.7% | +1100 | 10.0% |
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 1.2% | +700 | 13.7% |
| Paige Bueckers | Wings | 0.7% | +700 | 13.2% |
| Georgia Amoore | Mystics | 0.6% | +1400 | 7.3% |
| Jade Melbourne | Storm | 0.5% | +1400 | 7.1% |
| Awak Kuier | Wings | 0.4% | +1300 | 7.6% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 7/31.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Friday, July 31, 2026, Allisha Gray, Kelsey Mitchell and Megan Gustafson lead our first basket projections, with Gray shaping as the strongest value play at +750. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
