Adelaide Crows vs. Richmond Tigers prediction: Why Crows are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 22 matchup [8/8/2026]
Get Adelaide Crows vs Richmond Tigers predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Adelaide Crows and Richmond Tigers are scheduled to meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, starting at 5:35 AM ET.
Dimers' proven AFL model projects the Crows as the most likely winner in this Tigers vs. Crows prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Crows vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win Round 22 game?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Crows a 98.8% chance of beating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Crows (-55.5) have a 72.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 157.5 points has a 53.3% chance of going over,.
Richmond vs. Adelaide odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tigers | Crows |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +1300 | -5000 |
| Line (Spread) | +55.5 (-115) | -55.5 (-115) |
| Total | o157.5 (-115) | u157.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tigers vs. Crows picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Crows -55.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Crows | -5000 |
| Total | Over 157.5 | -115 |
According to our best AFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Crows -55.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Crows vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Crows and Tigers at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 5:35 AM ET.
- Who: Richmond Tigers vs. Adelaide Crows
- Date: Saturday, August 8, 2026
- Time: 5:35 AM ET/2:35AM PT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Crows, with a 98.8% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
