Arkansas vs. Virginia prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 8, 2026

Virginia is favored to beat Arkansas at Capital One Arena on Sunday (1:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Arkansas vs. Virginia prediction gives the Razorbacks a 63.5% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Virginia to cover at -2.5, too.

Arkansas vs. Virginia key predictions

• Predicted score: Virginia 80-76 Arkansas
• Virginia win probability: 63.5%
• Arkansas win probability: 36.5%
• Virginia -2.5 spread: 58.7% cover probability
• Under 162 points: 54.2% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Arkansas vs. Virginia odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Arkansas moneyline: +130 (DraftKings)
• Virginia moneyline: -152 (FanDuel)
• Arkansas +2.5: -106 (BetRivers)
• Virginia -2.5: -118 (BetRivers)
• Over 162 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 162 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Arkansas vs. Virginia pick: Virginia -2.5 (-118)

Our model makes Virginia the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Razorbacks to cover the -2.5 spread at -118 on BetRivers, too.

Those odds give Virginia an implied cover probability of 54.1%, while our model puts it at 58.7%.

That's a 4.6% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

Get every Arkansas vs. Virginia prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Arkansas vs. Virginia predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Arkansas vs. Virginia game details

• Matchup: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Capital One Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.