Saint Mary's vs. Nevada prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 8, 2026

Nevada is favored to beat Saint Mary's at Tahoe Blue Event Center on Sunday (4:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Saint Mary's vs. Nevada prediction gives the Gaels a 53.6% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Saint Mary's to cover at +1.5.

Saint Mary's vs. Nevada key predictions

• Predicted score: Nevada 73-72 Saint Mary's
• Nevada win probability: 53.6%
• Saint Mary's win probability: 46.4%
• Saint Mary's +1.5 spread: 54.8% cover probability
• Under 144.5 points: 52.5% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Saint Mary's vs. Nevada odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Saint Mary's moneyline: +117 (BetRivers)
• Nevada moneyline: -125 (BetMGM)
• Saint Mary's +1.5: +102 (BetRivers)
• Nevada -1.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 144.5 points: -113 (BetRivers)
• Under 144.5 points: -110 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Saint Mary's vs. Nevada pick: Saint Mary's +1.5 (+102)

Our model makes Nevada the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Wolf Pack to cover the +1.5 spread at +102 on BetRivers.

Those odds give Saint Mary's an implied cover probability of 49.5%, while our model puts it at 54.8%.

That's a 5.3% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Saint Mary's vs. Nevada game details

• Matchup: Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Time: 4:30 PM ET
• Venue: Tahoe Blue Event Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.