South Alabama vs. North Texas prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

North Texas is favored to beat South Alabama at UNT Coliseum on Saturday (6:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our South Alabama vs. North Texas prediction gives the Jaguars an 84.2% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the North Texas moneyline, too.

South Alabama vs. North Texas key predictions

• Predicted score: North Texas 71-61 South Alabama
• North Texas win probability: 84.2%
• South Alabama win probability: 15.8%
• North Texas -8.5 spread: 55.1% cover probability
• Under 133.5 points: 50.2% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

South Alabama vs. North Texas odds

Below are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

• South Alabama moneyline: +340 (BetMGM)
• North Texas moneyline: -430 (FanDuel)
• South Alabama +8.5: -102 (FanDuel)
• North Texas -8.5: -117 (BetRivers)
• Over 133.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 133.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

South Alabama vs. North Texas pick: North Texas ML (-430)

Our model makes North Texas the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Jaguars moneyline at -430 on FanDuel, too.

Those odds give North Texas an implied win probability of 81.1%, while our model puts it at 84.2%.

That's a 3.0% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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South Alabama vs. North Texas game details

• Matchup: South Alabama Jaguars vs. North Texas
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• Venue: UNT Coliseum

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.