UMBC vs. George Mason prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 2, 2026

George Mason is favored to beat UMBC at EagleBank Arena on Monday (4:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our UMBC vs. George Mason prediction gives George Mason a 94.9% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on George Mason to cover at -17.5, too.

UMBC vs. George Mason key predictions

• Predicted score: George Mason 81-63 UMBC
• George Mason win probability: 94.9%
• UMBC win probability: 5.1%
• George Mason -17.5 spread: 52.5% cover probability
• Under 146.5 points: 52.0% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

UMBC vs. George Mason odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• UMBC moneyline: +1280 (FanDuel)
• George Mason moneyline: -2400 (DraftKings)
• UMBC +17.5: -105 (DraftKings)
• George Mason -17.5: -107 (BetRivers)
• Over 146.5 points: -108 (DraftKings)
• Under 146.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

UMBC vs. George Mason pick: George Mason -17.5 (-107)

Our model makes George Mason the likelier winner, and our best value bet is George Mason to cover the -17.5 spread at -107 on BetRivers, too.

Those odds give George Mason an implied cover probability of 51.7%, while our model puts it at 52.5%.

That's a 0.8% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

Get every UMBC vs. George Mason prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our UMBC vs. George Mason predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

UMBC vs. George Mason game details

• Matchup: UMBC Retrievers vs. George Mason Patriots
• Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• Venue: EagleBank Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.