Alcorn State vs. Southern University prediction favors Alcorn State to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 55.8% win probability for Alcorn State at A.W. Mumford Stadium.

Alcorn State takes on Southern University in college football action.
Alcorn State vs. Southern University college football gameday prediction for Saturday, November 14, 2026.

Southern University and Alcorn State will clash in Week 11 college football action at A.W. Mumford Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 3:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects Alcorn State as the most likely winner in this Alcorn State vs. Southern University prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Alcorn State vs. Southern University prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Alcorn State vs. Southern University, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Alcorn State a 55.8% chance of defeating Southern University. Our predicted final score has Alcorn State winning 32-29. According to our model, Alcorn State (-2.5) has a 51.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 63.5-point over/under has a 53.5% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Alcorn State -2.5 (-110) / Southern University +2.5 (+106)
  • Moneyline: Alcorn State -120, Southern University +115
  • Total: Over/Under 63.5 (-109/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Southern University +2.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Alcorn State @ 55¢ via Novig
  • Total: Under 63.5 @ -110 via DraftKings

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Alcorn State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Southern University and Alcorn State at A.W. Mumford Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Alcorn State vs. Southern University
  • Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00 PM PT
  • Venue: A.W. Mumford Stadium

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Make the most of Dimers' Alcorn State vs. Southern University predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offer below:


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Conclusion

We predict Alcorn State, with a 55.8% win probability, will likely beat Southern University in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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