Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty prediction favors Liberty to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Liberty a 96.6% chance of beating Middle Tennessee. Our predicted final score has Liberty winning 37-15. According to our model, Liberty (-21.5) has a 50.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 53.5-point over/under has a 50.4% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Middle Tennessee +21.5 (-104) / Liberty -21.5 (+102)
• Moneyline: Middle Tennessee +1233, Liberty -1329
• Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-102/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Liberty -21.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Liberty @ 93¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 53.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Liberty to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Liberty and Middle Tennessee at Williams Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30 PM PT
• Venue: Williams Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Liberty, with a 96.6% win probability, will likely beat Middle Tennessee in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.