Cincinnati vs. Arizona prediction: Why Arizona is favored to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 70.2% win probability for Arizona at Casino Del Sol Stadium.

Cincinnati takes on Arizona in College Football action.
Cincinnati vs. Arizona college football gameday prediction for Saturday, October 3, 2026.

Arizona will face Cincinnati in Week 5 college football action at Casino Del Sol Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 11:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model projects Arizona as the most likely winner in this Cincinnati vs. Arizona prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Cincinnati vs. Arizona prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Cincinnati vs. Arizona, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Arizona a 70.2% chance of beating Cincinnati. Our predicted final score has Arizona winning 31-24. According to our model, Cincinnati (+7) has a 50.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 56.5-point over/under has a 51.3% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Cincinnati +7 (-115) / Arizona -7 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +215, Arizona -255
  • Total: Over/Under 56.5 (-108/-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Arizona -7 @ -105 via bet365
  • Moneyline: Arizona @ -255 via FanDuel
  • Total: Under 56.5 @ -112 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 56.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Arizona and Cincinnati at Casino Del Sol Stadium is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Cincinnati vs. Arizona
  • Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
  • Venue: Casino Del Sol Stadium

College football Week 5 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Cincinnati vs. Arizona predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:


Conclusion

We predict Arizona, with a 70.2% win probability, will likely beat Cincinnati in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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