Davidson vs. Dayton prediction favors Dayton to win in college football Week 11 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 96.3% win probability for Dayton at Welcome Stadium.

Dayton will square off with Davidson in Week 11 college football action at Welcome Stadium on Saturday, starting at 12:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Dayton as the most likely winner in this Davidson vs. Dayton prediction.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Davidson vs. Dayton prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives Dayton a 96.3% chance of beating Davidson. Our predicted final score has Dayton winning 40-15. According to our model, Dayton (-22.5) has a 54.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 56.5 points has a 50.9% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Davidson +22.5 (-110) / Dayton -22.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Davidson +1233, Dayton -1329
- Total: Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-109)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Dayton -22.5 @ -110 via BetRivers
- Moneyline: Dayton @ 93¢ via Novig
- Total: Under 56.5 @ -109 via BetRivers
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dayton to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football game between Dayton and Davidson at Welcome Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Davidson vs. Dayton
- Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00 AM PT
- Venue: Welcome Stadium
College football Week 11 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Davidson vs. Dayton predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Dayton, with a 96.3% win probability, will likely beat Davidson in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



