Georgia State vs. Arkansas State prediction: Why Georgia State is favored to win in college football Week 8 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Georgia State vs. Arkansas State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Georgia State a 55.9% chance of defeating Arkansas State. Our predicted final score has Georgia State winning 30-27. According to our model, Georgia State (-1.5) has a 52.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 55.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Georgia State -1.5 (-115) / Arkansas State +1.5 (+111)
• Moneyline: Georgia State -125, Arkansas State +122
• Total: Over/Under 55.5 (-141/+135)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Arkansas State +1.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Georgia State @ 56¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 55.5 @ 43¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 55.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Arkansas State and Georgia State at Centennial Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Georgia State vs. Arkansas State
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Georgia State, with a 55.9% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.