Sacramento State vs. Ball State prediction favors Ball State to win in college football Week 8 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sacramento State vs. Ball State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Ball State an 84.4% chance of defeating Sacramento State. Our predicted final score has Ball State winning 33-19. According to our model, Ball State (-9.5) has a 60.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 49.5 points has a 57.3% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sacramento State +9.5 (+150) / Ball State -9.5 (-163)
• Moneyline: Sacramento State +510, Ball State -525
• Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-125/+120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sacramento State +9.5 @ 40¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Ball State @ 84¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 49.5 @ 56¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 49.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Ball State and Sacramento State at Scheumann Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento State vs. Ball State
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30 PM PT
• Venue: Scheumann Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Ball State, with an 84.4% win probability, will likely beat Sacramento State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.