Oklahoma vs. Mississippi State prediction: Why Oklahoma is favored to win in college football Week 8 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Oklahoma vs. Mississippi State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Oklahoma a 55.0% chance of beating Mississippi State. Our predicted final score has Oklahoma winning 25-23. According to our model, Oklahoma (-2.5) has a 50.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 49.5 points has a 52.5% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Oklahoma -2.5 (-102) / Mississippi State +2.5 (-102)
• Moneyline: Oklahoma -125, Mississippi State +122
• Total: Over/Under 49.5 (+117/-125)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Oklahoma -2.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Mississippi State @ 45¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 49.5 @ 46¢ via Novig

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 49.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Mississippi State and Oklahoma at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma vs. Mississippi State
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30 PM PT
• Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field

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Conclusion

We predict Oklahoma, with a 55.0% win probability, will likely beat Mississippi State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.