Kansas State vs. Arizona State prediction: Why Arizona State is favored to win in college football Week 8 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 50.4% win probability for Arizona State at Mountain America Stadium.

Kansas State takes on Arizona State in College Football action.
Kansas State vs. Arizona State college football gameday prediction for Saturday, October 24, 2026.

Arizona State and Kansas State will lock horns in Week 8 college football action at Mountain America Stadium on Saturday, starting at 3:45 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced college football model gives Arizona State a slight edge with a 50.4% win probability over Kansas State.

This article offers a complete Kansas State vs. Arizona State prediction, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Kansas State vs. Arizona State prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Kansas State vs. Arizona State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Arizona State a 50.4% chance of beating Kansas State. Our predicted score is Kansas State 26-26 Arizona State.

According to our model, Arizona State (+2.5) has a 55.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 54.5-point over/under has a 52.1% chance of staying under. While there is no way for a college football game to end in a tie, our prediction of 26-26 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of Kansas State vs. Arizona State.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Kansas State -2.5 (+115) / Arizona State +2.5 (-120)
  • Moneyline: Kansas State -104, Arizona State +103
  • Total: Over/Under 54.5 (+127/-133)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Arizona State +2.5 @ 55¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Arizona State @ +103 via Caesars
  • Total: Over 54.5 @ 44¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 54.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Arizona State and Kansas State at Mountain America Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:45 PM ET.

  • Who: Kansas State vs. Arizona State
  • Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
  • Time: 3:45 PM ET/12:45 PM PT
  • Venue: Mountain America Stadium

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Make the most of Dimers' Kansas State vs. Arizona State predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offer below:


In Texas or Oklahoma? Check out this exclusive offer where you can secure $25 in Predictions Dollars as soon as either team scores in today's Sooners-Longhorns clash.

Conclusion

We predict Arizona State, with a 50.4% win probability, will likely beat Kansas State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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