Murray State vs. Indiana State prediction: Why Indiana State is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Murray State vs. Indiana State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Indiana State a 77.6% chance of beating Murray State. Our predicted final score has Indiana State winning 34-24. According to our model, Indiana State (-8.5) has a 52.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 61.5 points has a 54.7% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Murray State +8.5 (-106) / Indiana State -8.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Murray State +285, Indiana State -300
• Total: Over/Under 61.5 (-107/-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Indiana State -8.5 @ -105 via bet365
• Moneyline: Indiana State @ 75¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 61.5 @ -114 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Indiana State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Indiana State and Murray State at Memorial Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Murray State vs. Indiana State
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: Memorial Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Indiana State, with a 77.6% win probability, will likely beat Murray State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.