Norfolk State vs. Morgan State prediction: Why Morgan State is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 56.0% win probability for Morgan State at Hughes Stadium (MD).

Morgan State will square off with Norfolk State in Week 11 college football action at Hughes Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 12:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Morgan State as the most likely winner in this Norfolk State vs. Morgan State prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Norfolk State vs. Morgan State prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model currently gives Morgan State a 56.0% chance of defeating Norfolk State. Our predicted final score has Morgan State winning 28-25. According to our model, Morgan State (-2.5) has a 53.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 54.5 points has a 51.3% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Norfolk State +2.5 (+100) / Morgan State -2.5 (-112)
- Moneyline: Norfolk State +125, Morgan State -127
- Total: Over/Under 54.5 (-112/-104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Morgan State -2.5 @ -112 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Morgan State @ 56¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 54.5 @ -112 via DraftKings
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Morgan State -2.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Morgan State and Norfolk State at Hughes Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Norfolk State vs. Morgan State
- Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00 AM PT
- Venue: Hughes Stadium
College football Week 11 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Norfolk State vs. Morgan State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Morgan State, with a 56.0% win probability, will likely beat Norfolk State in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



