North Dakota State vs. Air Force prediction: Why North Dakota State is favored to win in college football Week 2 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 53.8% win probability for North Dakota State at Falcon Stadium.

Air Force and North Dakota State will lock horns in Week 2 college football action at Falcon Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model gives North Dakota State a slight edge with a 53.8% win probability over Air Force.
This article offers a complete North Dakota State vs. Air Force prediction, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
North Dakota State vs. Air Force prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives North Dakota State a 53.8% chance of defeating Air Force. Our predicted final score has North Dakota State winning 24-23. According to our model, Air Force (+2.5) has a 52.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 47-point over/under has a 52.7% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: North Dakota State -2.5 (-105) / Air Force +2.5 (-113)
- Moneyline: North Dakota State -125, Air Force +110
- Total: Over/Under 47 (-113/-107)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Air Force +2.5 @ -113 via BetRivers
- Moneyline: Air Force @ +110 via BetRivers
- Total: Over 47 @ -113 via Caesars
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 47 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football game between Air Force and North Dakota State at Falcon Stadium is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: North Dakota State vs. Air Force
- Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Falcon Stadium
College football Week 2 promos
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Conclusion
We predict North Dakota State, with a 53.8% win probability, will likely beat Air Force in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.




