Northern Arizona vs. Cal Poly prediction: Why Northern Arizona is favored to win in college football Week 10 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects an 83.4% win probability for Northern Arizona at Mustang Memorial Field.

Cal Poly and Northern Arizona will meet in Week 10 college football action at Mustang Memorial Field on Saturday, commencing at 5:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects Northern Arizona as the most likely winner in this Northern Arizona vs. Cal Poly prediction.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Northern Arizona vs. Cal Poly prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model currently gives Northern Arizona an 83.4% chance of beating Cal Poly. Our predicted final score has Northern Arizona winning 37-23. According to our model, Northern Arizona (-13) has a 50.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 62.5-point over/under has a 53.7% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Northern Arizona -13 (-115) / Cal Poly +13 (-105)
- Moneyline: Northern Arizona -456, Cal Poly +441
- Total: Over/Under 62.5 (-102/-102)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Cal Poly +13 @ -105 via Caesars
- Moneyline: Northern Arizona @ 82¢ via Novig
- Total: Under 62.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 62.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Cal Poly and Northern Arizona at Mustang Memorial Field is scheduled to begin at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Northern Arizona vs. Cal Poly
- Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00 PM PT
- Venue: Mustang Memorial Field
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Conclusion
We predict Northern Arizona, with an 83.4% win probability, will likely beat Cal Poly in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



