Ohio State vs. Texas prediction: Why Texas is favored to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Ohio State vs. Texas, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Texas a 51.4% chance of defeating Ohio State. Our predicted final score has Texas winning 26-25. According to our model, Ohio State (+1.5) has a 52.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 49 points has a 54.6% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Ohio State +1.5 (-110) / Texas -1.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Ohio State +105, Texas -111
• Total: Over/Under 49 (-105/-116)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Ohio State +1.5 @ -110 via ESPN BET
• Moneyline: Ohio State @ +105 via bet365
• Total: Over 49 @ -105 via Fanatics

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 49 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Texas and Ohio State at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Ohio State vs. Texas
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

College football Week 2 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Ohio State vs. Texas predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offfer below

Conclusion

We predict Texas, with a 51.4% win probability, will likely beat Ohio State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.