Ohio State vs. Texas prediction: Why Texas is favored to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Dimers' simulation model projects a 53.9% win probability for Texas at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium.

Ohio State takes on Texas in College Football action.
Ohio State vs. Texas college football gameday prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026.

Texas will square off with Ohio State in Week 2 college football action at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven college football model gives Texas a slight edge with a 53.9% win probability over Ohio State.

This article offers a complete Ohio State vs. Texas prediction, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.

Ohio State vs. Texas prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Ohio State vs. Texas, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Texas a 53.9% chance of beating Ohio State. Our predicted final score has Texas winning 26-25. According to our model, Ohio State (+1.5) has a 52.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 49 points has a 54.6% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Ohio State +1.5 (-110) / Texas -1.5 (-117)
  • Moneyline: Ohio State +120, Texas -111
  • Total: Over/Under 49 (-105/-116)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Ohio State +1.5 @ -110 via ESPN BET
  • Moneyline: Ohio State @ +120 via DraftKings
  • Total: Over 49 @ -105 via Fanatics

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 49 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Texas and Ohio State at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

  • Who: Ohio State vs. Texas
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
  • Venue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

College football Week 2 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Ohio State vs. Texas predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:


Conclusion

We predict Texas, with a 53.9% win probability, will likely beat Ohio State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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