USF vs. Bowling Green prediction favors South Florida to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of USF vs. Bowling Green, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives South Florida a 90.1% chance of defeating Bowling Green. Our predicted final score has South Florida winning 33-16. According to our model, Bowling Green (+18.5) has a 52.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 52.6% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: USF -18.5 (-112) / Bowling Green +18.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: USF -1050, Bowling Green +800
• Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-112/-103)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Bowling Green +18.5 @ -110 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: Bowling Green @ +800 via BetRivers
• Total: Over 48.5 @ -112 via FanDuel

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 48.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Bowling Green and USF at Doyt L. Perry Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00 PM ET.

• Who: South Florida vs. Bowling Green
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
• Venue: Doyt L. Perry Stadium

College football Week 4 promos

Make the most of Dimers' South Florida vs. Bowling Green predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

We predict South Florida, with a 90.1% win probability, will likely beat Bowling Green in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.