Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State prediction: Why Alcorn State is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Alcorn State a 62.1% chance of defeating Texas Southern. Our predicted final score has Alcorn State winning 30-25. According to our model, Alcorn State (-3.5) has a 53.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 54-point over/under has a 52.6% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Texas Southern +3.5 (-110) / Alcorn State -3.5 (-113)
• Moneyline: Texas Southern +150, Alcorn State -172
• Total: Over/Under 54 (-110/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Alcorn State -3.5 @ -113 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Alcorn State @ -172 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 54 @ -110 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 54 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Alcorn State and Texas Southern at Spinks-Casem Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: Spinks-Casem Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Alcorn State, with a 62.1% win probability, will likely beat Texas Southern in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.