Troy vs. South Alabama prediction favors South Alabama to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Troy vs. South Alabama, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives South Alabama a 58.5% chance of beating Troy. Our predicted final score has South Alabama winning 29-26. According to our model, Troy (+3.5) has a 53.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 50.4% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Troy +3.5 (-117) / South Alabama -3.5 (+111)
• Moneyline: Troy +141, South Alabama -144
• Total: Over/Under 55.5 (+102/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Troy +3.5 @ 54¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Troy @ 41¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 55.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 55.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between South Alabama and Troy at Hancock Whitney Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Troy vs. South Alabama
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium

College football Week 11 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Troy vs. South Alabama predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

In Texas or Oklahoma? Check out this exclusive offer where you can secure $25 in Predictions Dollars as soon as either team scores in today's Sooners-Longhorns clash.

Conclusion

We predict South Alabama, with a 58.5% win probability, will likely beat Troy in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.