UC Davis vs. Idaho prediction: Why Idaho is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 75.4% win probability for Idaho at P1FCU Kibbie Dome.

Idaho will face UC Davis in Week 11 college football action at P1FCU Kibbie Dome on Saturday, commencing at 4:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects Idaho as the most likely winner in this UC Davis vs. Idaho prediction.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
UC Davis vs. Idaho prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model currently gives Idaho a 75.4% chance of beating UC Davis. Our predicted final score has Idaho winning 35-26. According to our model, Idaho (-7.5) has a 52.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 63.5 points has a 54.0% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: UC Davis +7.5 (-110) / Idaho -7.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: UC Davis +270, Idaho -277
- Total: Over/Under 63.5 (-109/-112)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Idaho -7.5 @ -110 via BetRivers
- Moneyline: Idaho @ 74¢ via Novig
- Total: Under 63.5 @ -112 via BetRivers
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Idaho to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football matchup between Idaho and UC Davis at P1FCU Kibbie Dome is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: UC Davis vs. Idaho
- Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00 PM PT
- Venue: P1FCU Kibbie Dome
College football Week 11 promos
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Conclusion
We predict Idaho, with a 75.4% win probability, will likely beat UC Davis in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



