UNLV vs. New Mexico prediction favors New Mexico to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of UNLV vs. New Mexico, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives New Mexico an 87.9% chance of defeating UNLV. Our predicted final score has New Mexico winning 32-15. According to our model, New Mexico (-16) has a 52.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 45.5 points has a 53.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: UNLV +16 (-112) / New Mexico -16 (-112)
• Moneyline: UNLV +614, New Mexico -669
• Total: Over/Under 45.5 (-106/-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: New Mexico -16 @ -112 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: New Mexico @ 87¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 45.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 45.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between New Mexico and UNLV at University Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: UNLV vs. New Mexico
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT
• Venue: University Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict New Mexico, with an 87.9% win probability, will likely beat UNLV in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.