Valparaiso vs. Murray State prediction: Why Murray State is favored to win in college football Week 2 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Valparaiso vs. Murray State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Murray State an 83.2% chance of defeating Valparaiso. Our predicted final score has Murray State winning 32-19. According to our model, Valparaiso (+14) has a 53.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 51.0% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Valparaiso +14 (-110) / Murray State -14 (-113)
• Moneyline: Valparaiso +475, Murray State -650
• Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Valparaiso +14 @ -110 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Valparaiso @ +475 via bet365
• Total: Over 51.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Valparaiso +14 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Murray State and Valparaiso at Roy Stewart Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Valparaiso vs. Murray State
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Roy Stewart Stadium

College football Week 2 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Valparaiso vs. Murray State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

We predict Murray State, with an 83.2% win probability, will likely beat Valparaiso in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.