Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on September 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
0
3
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
N. Williams (46')
Soccer ball icon
R. Navarro (48')
Soccer ball icon
O. Sancet (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atletico Madrid
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by O. Sancet
    0-3
  2. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces N. Williams
  3. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Cardoso replaces A. Baena
  4. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: J. Louis-Jean replaces R. Navarro
  5. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces I. Williams
  6. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Jauregizar replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
  7. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces M. Hjulmand
  8. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Alvarez replaces Lee Kang-In
  9. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Romero replaces G. Simeone
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Ortiz replaces A. Lookman
  11. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by R. Navarro, assisted by I. Williams
    0-2
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Paredes replaces Y. Alvarez
  13. 46'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by N. Williams
    0-1
  14. 39'
    Yellow Card
    Lee Kang-In (Atl. Madrid) cautioned

Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao 34¢, Atletico Madrid 37¢, draw 29¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (51¢/50¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 32.6%
  • Atletico Madrid: 40.9%
  • Draw: 26.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid (12.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.9%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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