Rayo Vallecano vs. Racing Santander Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Racing Santander La Liga match on September 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Racing Santander
2
3
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
Racing SantanderRACS
A. Ratiu (17')
Soccer ball icon
S. Camello (43')
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S. Camello (47')
Soccer ball icon
F. Perez (86')
Red Card icon
J. de Frutos (89')
Red Card icon
S. Canales (4')
Soccer ball icon
P. Garcia (28')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Racing Santander
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: J. Arana replaces P. Garcia
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: A. Martin replaces A. Mantilla
  3. 89'
    Red Card
    J. de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano) sent off with a straight red card
  4. 86'
    Red Card
    F. Perez (Rayo Vallecano) sent off with a straight red card
  5. 79'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Balliu replaces A. Pedrosa
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Tsitaishvili replaces A. Garcia
  8. 66'
    Yellow Card
    F. Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces J. de Frutos
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Bouare replaces O. Valentin
  11. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces S. Camello
  12. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: J. Belocian replaces F. Gonzalez
  13. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: A. Almeida replaces M. Prati
  14. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: P. Ramon replaces Manu Hernando
  15. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by S. Camello, assisted by U. Lopez
    2-3
  16. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by S. Camello, assisted by U. Lopez
    2-2
  17. 39'
    Yellow Card
    S. Camello (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  18. 35'
    Yellow Card
    I. Vicente (Racing Santander) cautioned
  19. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Racing Santander by P. Garcia
    2-1
  20. 25'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Zabiri (Racing Santander) cautioned
  21. 17'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by A. Ratiu, assisted by S. Camello
    1-1
  22. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Racing Santander by S. Canales
    1-0
  23. 2'
    Yellow Card
    O. Valentin (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned

Rayo Vallecano vs. Racing Santander: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Racing Santander
  • Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano 49¢, Racing Santander +290, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (59¢/42¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 45.1%
  • Racing Santander: 30.2%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Racing Santander (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Racing Santander? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.1%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Racing Santander.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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