Club Tijuana vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/16/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Club Tijuana and Puebla, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 52.9% chance of Club Tijuana winning, a 24.2% chance for Puebla, and a 22.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57.6% chance of going over., with a 57.8% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Puebla +330, Club Tijuana -130
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-132/+106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Puebla @ +330 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -132 via FanDuel

According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Club Tijuana 1-1 Puebla (10.7% probability)
• Club Tijuana 2-1 Puebla (9.8%)
• Club Tijuana 1-0 Puebla (9.1%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.8% chance of both Club Tijuana and Puebla finding the net and a 42.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's Liga MX action between Club Tijuana and Puebla at Estadio Caliente is scheduled to start at 11:05 PM ET.

• Who: Club Tijuana vs. Puebla
• Date: Friday, October 16, 2026
• Time: 11:05 PM ET/8:05PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Caliente

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Club Tijuana has a 52.9% win probability on Friday, Puebla has a 24.2% win probability, and there is a 22.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.