Cruz Azul vs. Juarez prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/17/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Cruz Azul and Juarez, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 71.1% chance of Cruz Azul winning, an 11.4% chance for Juarez, and a 17.5% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59.8% chance of going over., with a 50.5% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Juarez +700, Cruz Azul -310
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-200/+154)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Juarez @ +700 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +154 via FanDuel

According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Cruz Azul win being the most probable:

• Cruz Azul 2-0 Juarez (11.9% probability)
• Cruz Azul 1-0 Juarez (10.4%)
• Cruz Azul 2-1 Juarez (9.5%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 50.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Cruz Azul and Juarez at Estadio Banorte is scheduled to start at 11:10 PM ET.

• Who: Cruz Azul vs. Juarez
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 11:10 PM ET/8:10PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Banorte

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Cruz Azul has a 71.1% win probability on Saturday, Juarez has an 11.4% win probability, and there is a 17.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.