Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/11/2026]

Pumas UNAM will face Cruz Azul in Liga MX action on Sunday, commencing at 9:15 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Cruz Azul as the most likely winner in this Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 34.5% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 39.3% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 26.2% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51.3% chance of staying under., with a 53.3% probability that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Cruz Azul +130, Pumas UNAM +195
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+124)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Cruz Azul @ +130 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +124 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Pumas UNAM 1-1 Cruz Azul (12.5% probability)
• Pumas UNAM 0-1 Cruz Azul (9.9%)
• Pumas UNAM 1-0 Cruz Azul (9.2%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 46.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Liga MX action between Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul is scheduled to start at 9:15 PM ET.

• Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul
• Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
• Time: 9:15 PM ET/6:15PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 34.5% win probability on Sunday, Cruz Azul has a 39.3% win probability, and there is a 26.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.