Guadalajara vs. Necaxa prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/20/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Liga MX game between Guadalajara and Necaxa, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 60.9% chance of Guadalajara winning, an 18.3% chance for Necaxa, and a 20.8% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59.5% chance of going over., with a 56.1% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Necaxa +600, Guadalajara -260
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-225/+186)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Necaxa @ +600 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +186 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Guadalajara win being the most probable:

• Guadalajara 2-1 Necaxa (9.9% probability)
• Guadalajara 1-1 Necaxa (9.7%)
• Guadalajara 2-0 Necaxa (9.6%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Tuesday's Liga MX matchup between Guadalajara and Necaxa at Estadio Akron is scheduled to begin at 8:07 PM ET.

• Who: Guadalajara vs. Necaxa
• Date: Tuesday, October 20, 2026
• Time: 8:07 PM ET/5:07PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Akron

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Guadalajara has a 60.9% win probability on Tuesday, Necaxa has an 18.3% win probability, and there is a 20.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.