Queretaro vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [11/8/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Queretaro and Puebla, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 49.6% chance of Queretaro winning, a 26.2% chance for Puebla, and a 24.3% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53.2% chance of going over., with a 55.2% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Puebla +310, Queretaro -125
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-154/+120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Puebla @ +310 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +120 via FanDuel

According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Queretaro 1-1 Puebla (11.5% probability)
• Queretaro 1-0 Puebla (10.1%)
• Queretaro 2-1 Puebla (9.6%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Liga MX game between Queretaro and Puebla at Estadio La Corregidora is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Queretaro vs. Puebla
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Estadio La Corregidora

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Queretaro has a 49.6% win probability on Sunday, Puebla has a 26.2% win probability, and there is a 24.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.