Cruz Azul vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. San Luis Liga MX match on July 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
3
2
Jul 17, 9:00 PM ET Estadio Libertad Financiera
San Luis
Jul 17, 9:00 PM ET Estadio Libertad Financiera
San LuisASL
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
S. Salles-Lamonge (46')
Soccer ball icon
R. Llorente (50')
Soccer ball icon
G. Fernandez (pen.) (63')
Soccer ball icon
J. Marquez (81')
Soccer ball icon
J. Marquez (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Luis
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Marquez, assisted by C. Rodriguez
3-2
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Munoz replaces R. Llorente
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces J. Paradela
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Marquez, assisted by L. Romero
2-2
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Duarte replaces Lucas Esteves
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces E. Lira
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces D. Rodriguez
75'
Yellow Card
Robson Bambu (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Najera replaces L. Flores
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez (pen.)
1-2
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces C. Ebere
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces O. Campos
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: N. Ibanez replaces A. Palavecino
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by R. Llorente, assisted by L. Flores
0-2
46'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by S. Salles-Lamonge
0-1
33'
Yellow Card
C. Rodriguez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
14'
Yellow Card
R. Llorente (Atl. San Luis) cautioned

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Cruz Azul vs. San Luis: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. San Luis
  • Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Libertad Financiera

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul -127, San Luis +440, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 54.2%
  • San Luis: 22.9%
  • Draw: 22.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-1 San Luis (10.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Cruz Azul vs. San Luis? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.2%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-1 San Luis.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Cruz Azul vs. San Luis, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.