Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/24/2026]
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Toluca vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Guadalajara Liga MX match on July 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
2
0
Jul 18, 9:07 PM ET Estadio Akron
Jul 18, 9:07 PM ET Estadio Akron
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
A. Sepulveda (50')
A. Vega (pen.) (42')
J. Gallardo (74')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Guadalajara
- Toluca
Win Probability
Match Timeline
J. Carrillo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: Bruno Mendez replaces N. Castro
Substitution for Toluca: F. Arce replaces J. Angulo
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces D. Campillo Del Campo
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces D. Aguirre
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Gallardo, assisted by Helinho
2-0
Substitution for Toluca: V. Guzman replaces A. Vega
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Carrillo replaces O. Govea
J. Gallardo (Toluca) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: Helinho replaces E. Gutierrez
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Gonzalez replaces R. Ledezma
R. Alvarado (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
A. Sepulveda (Guadalajara Chivas) sent off with a straight red card
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces K. Castaneda
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega (pen.)
1-0
F. Romero (Toluca) cautioned
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Toluca vs. Guadalajara: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Toluca vs. Guadalajara
- Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026
- Time: 9:07 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Akron
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Toluca +280, Guadalajara +100, draw +270
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+115)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Toluca: 34.4%
- Guadalajara: 40.7%
- Draw: 24.9%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara (11.7%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Toluca vs. Guadalajara? Prediction & correct score
Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.7%.
The most likely correct score is Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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