Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/24/2026]
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Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Liga MX match on July 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
2
1
Jul 21, 11:05 PM ET
Jul 21, 11:05 PM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
J. Diaz Price (14')
V. Arteaga (57')
S. Cordova (63')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Toluca
- Pumas UNAM
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces R. Morales
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: T. Leone replaces U. Antuna
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Medina replaces Juninho
Substitution for Toluca: S. Simon replaces D. Barbosa
R. Lopez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: C. Carrillo replaces B. A. Garcia Caprizo
Substitution for Toluca: N. Castro replaces V. Guzman
Substitution for Toluca: F. Romero replaces J. Angulo
Substitution for Toluca: J. Gallardo replaces A. Vega
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by S. Cordova, assisted by R. Lopez
2-1
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by V. Arteaga, assisted by R. Morales
1-1
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Cordova replaces P. Bennevendo
Helinho (Toluca) cautioned
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Diaz Price, assisted by Helinho
0-1
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Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca
- Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
- Time: 11:05 PM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +450, Toluca -170, draw +320
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+133)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Pumas UNAM: 20.2%
- Toluca: 57.7%
- Draw: 22.0%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Toluca (10.4%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca? Prediction & correct score
Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.7%.
The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Toluca.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
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