MLB picks today: Labor Day MLB best bets include Braves vs. Phillies play [9/7/2026]

Braves vs. Phillies Over 8.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 52%
• Matchup: Braves vs. Phillies (1:05PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Braves vs. Phillies at +117 odds. A 52% probability produces an edge of 5.9%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Angels vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Matchup: Angels vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET)

Angels vs. Red Sox over 8.5 runs carries a 5.4% edge and a probability of 56.4% at -104 odds, according to our model.

Mets ML (+113)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 52.2%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Marlins (1:10PM ET)

Mets ML at +113 odds shows a 5.2% edge, supported by a 52.2% probability in simulations.

Guardians vs. Orioles over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 52%
• Matchup: Guardians vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET)

A 5.1% edge and 52% probability make Guardians vs. Orioles over 8.5 runs a value play in the Guardians vs. Orioles matchup, per our model.

Athletics ML (+190)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 38.7%
• Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET)

Athletics ML at +190 odds presents a 4.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 38.7%.

Blue Jays vs. Athletics Over 8.5 runs (+102)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Blue Jays vs. Athletics at +102 odds, supported by an edge of 3.9%.

Athletics +1.5 (+108)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 51.4%
• Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Athletics +1.5 at +108 odds. A 51.4% probability produces a 3.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Mets vs. Marlins Over 8.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 48.8%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Marlins (1:10PM ET)

A 2.8% edge on a 48.8% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at +117 odds a solid value play in today's Mets vs. Marlins matchup.

Giants -1.5 (+178)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 38.2%
• Matchup: Cardinals vs. Giants (8:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Giants -1.5 at +178 odds. A 38.2% probability produces a 2.2% edge, making Giants the favorable side in today's matchup.

Nationals vs. Padres Over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 49.2%
• Matchup: Nationals vs. Padres (5:10PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Nationals vs. Padres Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds shows a 49.2% probability and a 2.2% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Monday, 9/7/2026

As of 4:47AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [9/7/2026]

• Braves vs. Phillies (1:05PM ET, Monday)
• Mets vs. Marlins (1:10PM ET, Monday)
• Guardians vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET, Monday)
• Angels vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET, Monday)
• Cubs vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Monday)
• Nationals vs. Padres (5:10PM ET, Monday)
• Cardinals vs. Giants (8:10PM ET, Monday)
• Blue Jays vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for September 7, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Braves vs. Phillies matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Angels vs. Red Sox matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.