MLB picks today: Saturday's MLB best bets include Yankees vs. Cubs play [8/1/2026]

Yankees vs. Cubs Over 6.5 runs (+102)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Matchup: Yankees vs. Cubs (7:15PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 6.5 runs in Yankees vs. Cubs at +102 odds. A 55.7% probability produces an edge of 6.2%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Guardians (7:15PM ET)

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians over 8.5 runs carries a 5.1% edge and a probability of 54.2% at +104 odds, according to our model.

Phillies vs. Orioles Over 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Matchup: Phillies vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)

Phillies vs. Orioles Over 8.5 runs at +108 odds shows a 4.8% edge, supported by a 52.9% probability in simulations.

Pirates vs. Reds over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 53.2%
• Matchup: Pirates vs. Reds (6:40PM ET)

A 4.2% edge and 53.2% probability make Pirates vs. Reds over 8.5 runs a value play in the Pirates vs. Reds matchup, per our model.

Tigers vs. Athletics Under 10.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 52%
• Matchup: Tigers vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Tigers vs. Athletics Under 10.5 runs at +108 odds presents a 3.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 52%.

Royals vs. Rockies Over 11.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Matchup: Royals vs. Rockies (8:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 11.5 runs in Royals vs. Rockies at -108 odds, supported by an edge of 3.5%.

Diamondbacks ML (+142)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 44.5%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Guardians (7:15PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Diamondbacks-Guardians to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +142 odds. A 44.5% probability produces a 3.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Red Sox vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 49.9%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET)

A 2.9% edge on a 49.9% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds a solid value play in today's Red Sox vs. Dodgers matchup.

Twins vs. MarinersOver 7.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 7.5 runs at -108 odds. A 54.7% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

Nationals vs. Braves Over 9.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 50.7%
• Matchup: Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Nationals vs. Braves Over 9.5 runs at +108 odds shows a 50.7% probability and a 2.6% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Saturday, 8/1/2026

As of 2:11AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/1/2026]

• Cardinals vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET, Saturday)
• Twins vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
• White Sox vs. Rays (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Marlins vs. Mets (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Pirates vs. Reds (6:40PM ET, Saturday)
• Phillies vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Rangers vs. Astros (7:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Nationals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Saturday)
• Yankees vs. Cubs (7:15PM ET, Saturday)
• D-Backs vs. Guardians (7:15PM ET, Saturday)
• Royals vs. Rockies (8:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Giants vs. Padres (8:40PM ET, Saturday)
• Red Sox vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Brewers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Saturday)
• Tigers vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Saturday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 1, 2026, featuring plays such as over 6.5 runs in the Yankees vs. Cubs matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Diamondbacks vs. Guardians matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.