Home run predictions for Monday include Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper [8/3/2026]

Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.8% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (21.8%) and Yordan Alvarez (18.2%).

Junior Caminero and Bryce Harper are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Monday's home run picks [8/3/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, highlights today’s highest-rated home run prop.

Marcell Ozuna (Pirates) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13.5%
• Odds: +790
• Edge: 2.2%
• Game: Pirates vs. Brewers (7:40 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Brandon Sproat

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Pittsburgh slugger Marcell Ozuna rates as a value play at +790 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.2% edge.

Set to face Brandon Sproat in tonight's Pirates-Brewers matchup, the data supports Ozuna as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 3, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Shohei Ohtani and Yordan Alvarez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Marcell Ozuna who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.2% edge at +790 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Monday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.