Sep 24, 2026
Marlins vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [9/24/2026]
Read Article Padres vs. Dodgers prediction: Dodgers favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [9/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 62.7% win probability for the Dodgers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
The Los Angeles Dodgers will square off with the San Diego Padres in MLB action at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 10:10 PM ET.
The Dodgers will start Tyler Glasnow (5-1, 3.46 ERA), while the Padres have opted for Nick Pivetta (3-2, 3.30 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Padres vs. Dodgers prediction.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Padres vs. Dodgers prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Padres and Dodgers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 62.7% chance of beating the Padres. According to our model, the Padres (+1.5) have a 55.4% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 57.3% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Padres +1.5 (-138) / Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
- Moneyline: Padres +156, Dodgers -160
- Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-105/+113)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Dodgers -1.5 @ 43¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Dodgers @ 62¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 7.5 @ -105 via bet365
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Thursday's MLB action between the Dodgers and Padres at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled to start at 10:10 PM ET.
- Who: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
- Time: 10:10 PM ET/7:10PM PT
- Venue: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 62.7% win probability, will likely beat the Padres in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
Every Bet, Every Game, Every Day Every plan unlocks every model, tool and insight, only the billing term changes.
MOST FLEXIBLE
Monthly billed monthly
$29.99
Month to month Pay as you go RECOMMENDED
6 Months one payment
$119.99 $149.99
6 months $20 per month Save $30.00 · 20% LIMITED TIME OFFER BEST VALUE
Annual first year
$169.99 $199.99
12 months $14.17 per month Save $30.00 · 15% LIMITED TIME OFFER Every plan includes
Full site access
iOS & Android app
AI bet assistant
Unlimited picks & predictions
Unlimited best bets & props
Unlimited player projections
Private Discord community
Cancel or pause anytime
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
