MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Jesús Sánchez [9/24/2026]

Jesús Sánchez to get a hit (-187)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 70.4%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

Our model has found value on D-Backs' Jesús Sánchez to get a hit. A probability of 70.4% gives this play an edge of 5.3% at -187 odds.

Nick Pivetta over 3.5 hits allowed (-161)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 69.7%
• Game: Padres vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Nick Pivetta’s hits allowed prop shows a 69.7% probability and an 8.0% edge at -161 odds, according to our model.

Pavin Smith over 0.5 bases (-185)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 68.2%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Pavin Smith over 0.5 bases, with simulations showing a 68.2% probability and a 3.3% edge at -185.

Pavin Smith to get a hit (-182)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 68.2%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Pavin Smith to get a hit, with a 68.2% probability and an edge of 3.7% at -182 odds.

Nick Pivetta over 1.5 earned runs (-160)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 67.6%
• Game: Padres vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Nick Pivetta over 1.5 earned runs for Padres, showing an edge of 6.1% at -160 odds.

Grayson Rodriguez under 5.5 hits allowed (-157)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 67.1%
• Game: Angels vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)

Grayson Rodriguez’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 6.1% at -157 odds, supported by a 67.1% probability according to our model.

Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts (-144)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 67.0%
• Game: Mets vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts for Rangers, with a 67.0% probability and a 8.0% edge at -144 odds.

Ian Seymour under 6.5 strikeouts (-145)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 66.5%
• Game: Rays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

The data shows value on Ian Seymour under 6.5 strikeouts, supported by a 66.5% probability at -145 odds and an edge of 7.3%.

Ian Seymour over 3.5 hits allowed (-161)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 64.6%
• Game: Rays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

A 2.9% edge on the over 6.5 hits allowed line makes Ian Seymour a value play in Rays vs. Yankees, supported by a 64.6% probability at -161 odds.

Ketel Marte over 1.5 bases (-121)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

Simulations show value on Ketel Marte over 1.5 bases here, with a 63.9% probability and 9.1% edge at -121 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Thursday, September 24, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:56AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 24, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Jesús Sánchez, Nick Pivetta and Pavin Smith. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.