MLB player props today: Wednesday's best props include Erick Fedde [9/23/2026]

Erick Fedde over 2.5 strikeouts (-160)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 70.6%
• Game: White Sox vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on White Sox' Erick Fedde over 2.5 strikeouts. A probability of 70.6% gives this play an edge of 9.1% at -160 odds.

Cody Bradford over 3.5 hits allowed (-156)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 70.1%
• Game: Mets vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Cody Bradford’s hits allowed prop shows a 70.1% probability and an 9.1% edge at -156 odds, according to our model.

Jesús Sánchez to get a hit (-165)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 69.8%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Jesús Sánchez to get a hit, with simulations showing a 69.8% probability and a 7.5% edge at -165.

Ian Seymour over 14.5 outs recorded (-176)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 68.5%
• Game: Rays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Our model finds value on Ian Seymour over 14.5 outs recorded, with a 68.5% probability and an edge of 4.8% at -176 odds.

Jeffrey Springs over 4.5 hits allowed (-142)

• Edge: 9.3%
• Probability: 68.0%
• Game: Angels vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jeffrey Springs over 4.5 hits allowed for Athletics, showing an edge of 9.3% at -142 odds.

George Kirby under 5.5 hits allowed (-159)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 67.6%
• Game: Astros vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET)

George Kirby’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 6.2% at -159 odds, supported by a 67.6% probability according to our model.

Pavin Smith over 0.5 bases (-160)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 67.5%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Pavin Smith over 0.5 bases for D-Backs, with a 67.5% probability and a 6.0% edge at -160 odds.

Pavin Smith to get a hit (-159)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 67.5%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Pavin Smith to get a hit, supported by a 67.5% probability at -159 odds and an edge of 6.1%.

Foster Griffin over 4.5 hits allowed (-158)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 66.7%
• Game: Guardians vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

A 5.4% edge on the over 0.5 hits allowed line makes Foster Griffin a value play in Guardians vs. Red Sox, supported by a 66.7% probability at -158 odds.

Ian Seymour under 6.5 strikeouts (-142)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 66.5%
• Game: Rays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on Ian Seymour under 6.5 strikeouts here, with a 66.5% probability and 7.8% edge at -142 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Wednesday, September 23, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:36AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 23, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Erick Fedde, Cody Bradford and Jesús Sánchez. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.