Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +1120 pick for Saturday [9/26/2026]

• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 21.3% probability
• Munetaka Murakami (White Sox): 20.5%
• Colson Montgomery (White Sox): 18.2%
• Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays): 18.1%
• Christian Walker (Astros): 18.0%
• Shea Langeliers (Athletics): 17.8%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 17.2%
• Isaac Paredes (Astros): 17.1%
• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 16.7%
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 16.3%

Our analysis shows Alvarez leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.3% chance to go deep, followed by Munetaka Murakami (20.5%) and Colson Montgomery (18.2%).

Vladimir Guerrero and Christian Walker are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Saturday's home run picks [9/26/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, surfaces today’s highest-rated home run prop.

Andrew Vaughn (Brewers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13.2%
• Odds: +1120
• Edge: 5.0%
• Pitching matchup: Quinn Mathews
• More game projections: Cardinals vs. Brewers prediction (7:10 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Milwaukee slugger Andrew Vaughn rates as a value play at +1120 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 5.0% edge.

With Quinn Mathews on the mound for the Cardinals, the data supports Vaughn as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of 15 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For September 26, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Yordan Alvarez, Munetaka Murakami and Colson Montgomery projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Andrew Vaughn who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 5.0% edge at +1120 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Saturday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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