Sep 26, 2026
Reds vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [9/26/2026]
Read Article Pirates vs. Tigers prediction: Pittsburgh favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [9/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 50.9% win probability for the Pirates at Comerica Park.
MLB action continues on Saturday at 1:10 PM ET as the Pittsburgh Pirates lock horns with the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park.
The Tigers will have Justin Verlander (0-1, 12.27 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Pirates will counter with Kirby Yates (2-5, 3.32 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Pirates a slight edge with a 50.9% win probability over the Tigers.
This article offers a complete Pirates vs. Tigers prediction, including best bets and picks.
Pirates vs. Tigers prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLB game between the Pirates and Tigers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Pirates a 50.9% chance of defeating the Tigers. According to our model, the Tigers (+1.5) have a 61.3% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 52.2% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Pirates -1.5 (+178) / Tigers +1.5 (-177)
- Moneyline: Pirates +108, Tigers -108
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-117/+120)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Pirates -1.5 @ 36¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Pirates @ 48¢ via Polymarket
- Total: Under 8.5 @ 45¢ via Novig
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Pirates to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Saturday's MLB game between the Tigers and Pirates at Comerica Park is scheduled to begin at 1:10 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers
- Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
- Venue: Comerica Park
Conclusion
We predict the Pirates, with a 50.9% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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