MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Sean Burke [9/25/2026]

Sean Burke over 3.5 hits allowed (-152)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 68.5%
• Game: Rockies vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on White Sox' Sean Burke over 3.5 hits allowed. A probability of 68.5% gives this play an edge of 8.2% at -152 odds.

Nick Lodolo over 3.5 strikeouts (-165)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 67.9%
• Game: Reds vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Nick Lodolo’s strikeouts prop shows a 67.9% probability and an 5.7% edge at -165 odds, according to our model.

Andrew Benintendi to get a hit (-170)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 67.0%
• Game: Rockies vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Andrew Benintendi to get a hit, with simulations showing a 67.0% probability and a 4.0% edge at -170.

Jacob Lopez over 4.5 hits allowed (-133)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 65.9%
• Game: Astros vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Jacob Lopez over 4.5 hits allowed, with a 65.9% probability and an edge of 8.8% at -133 odds.

Noah Cameron under 4.5 strikeouts (-143)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 65.4%
• Game: Guardians vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Noah Cameron under 4.5 strikeouts for Royals, showing an edge of 6.5% at -143 odds.

Cristopher Sánchez under 5.5 hits allowed (-145)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 65.1%
• Game: Rays vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

Cristopher Sánchez’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 5.9% at -145 odds, supported by a 65.1% probability according to our model.

Brandon Pfaadt over 3.5 strikeouts (-127)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 64.8%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Brandon Pfaadt over 3.5 strikeouts for D-Backs, with a 64.8% probability and a 8.9% edge at -127 odds.

Braden Montgomery to get a hit (-162)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 64.3%
• Game: Rockies vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Braden Montgomery to get a hit, supported by a 64.3% probability at -162 odds and an edge of 2.5%.

Sal Frelick to get a hit (-156)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 63.6%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

A 2.7% edge on the to get a hit line makes Sal Frelick a value play in Cardinals vs. Brewers, supported by a 63.6% probability at -156 odds.

Munetaka Murakami to get a hit (-146)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 62.7%
• Game: Rockies vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Munetaka Murakami to get a hit here, with a 62.7% probability and 3.4% edge at -146 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Friday, September 25, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 10:36AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 25, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Sean Burke, Nick Lodolo and Andrew Benintendi. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.