MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Ryan Johnson [9/26/2026]

Ryan Johnson under 2.5 walks allowed (-185)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 73.5%
• Game: Angels vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on Angels' Ryan Johnson under 2.5 walks allowed. A probability of 73.5% gives this play an edge of 8.6% at -185 odds.

Trey Yesavage over 0.5 earned runs (-168)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 72.1%
• Game: Reds vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)

Trey Yesavage’s earned runs prop shows a 72.1% probability and an 9.4% edge at -168 odds, according to our model.

Hayden Wesneski over 3.5 strikeouts (-155)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 69.2%
• Game: Astros vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Hayden Wesneski over 3.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 69.2% probability and an 8.4% edge at -155.

Quinn Mathews under 15.5 outs recorded (-162)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 68.9%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Brewers (7:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Quinn Mathews under 15.5 outs recorded, with a 68.9% probability and an edge of 7.1% at -162 odds.

Jose Quintana over 1.5 walks allowed (-186)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 68.6%
• Game: Rockies vs. White Sox (7:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jose Quintana over 1.5 walks allowed for Rockies, showing an edge of 3.6% at -186 odds.

Davis Martin under 4.5 strikeouts (-138)

• Edge: 9.3%
• Probability: 67.3%
• Game: Rockies vs. White Sox (7:10PM ET)

Davis Martin’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 9.3% at -138 odds, supported by a 67.3% probability according to our model.

Davis Martin over 3.5 hits allowed (-162)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 67.0%
• Game: Rockies vs. White Sox (7:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Davis Martin over 3.5 hits allowed for White Sox, with a 67.0% probability and a 5.2% edge at -162 odds.

Brenton Doyle to get a hit (-170)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 65.6%
• Game: Rockies vs. White Sox (7:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Brenton Doyle to get a hit, supported by a 65.6% probability at -170 odds and an edge of 2.7%.

Michael Wacha under 4.5 strikeouts (-148)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 64.7%
• Game: Guardians vs. Royals (7:10PM ET)

A 5.0% edge on the under 0.5 strikeouts line makes Michael Wacha a value play in Guardians vs. Royals, supported by a 64.7% probability at -148 odds.

Kyle Teel to get a hit (-150)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 64.2%
• Game: Rockies vs. White Sox (7:10PM ET)

Simulations show value on Kyle Teel to get a hit here, with a 64.2% probability and 4.2% edge at -150 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Saturday, September 26, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 10:28AM ET:

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Conclusion

For September 26, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Ryan Johnson, Trey Yesavage and Hayden Wesneski. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.