MLB postseason player props today: Monday's best props include Foster Griffin [10/12/2026]

Foster Griffin over 1.5 earned runs (-124)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 64.2%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Guardians' Foster Griffin over 1.5 earned runs. A probability of 64.2% gives this play an edge of 8.8% at -124 odds.

Drew Rasmussen over 1.5 earned runs (-110)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Drew Rasmussen’s earned runs prop shows a 55.3% probability and an 2.9% edge at -110 odds, according to our model.

Foster Griffin over 1.5 walks allowed (+142)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 49.4%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Foster Griffin over 1.5 walks allowed, with simulations showing a 49.4% probability and an 8.1% edge at +142.

Jo Adell over 1.5 bases (+190)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 36.9%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Jo Adell over 1.5 bases, with a 36.9% probability and an edge of 2.4% at +190 odds.

Taylor Walls over 0.5 to steal a base (+700)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 16.3%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Taylor Walls over 0.5 to steal a base for Rays, showing an edge of 3.8% at +700 odds.

Ben Williamson over 2.5 bases (+670)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 16.0%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Ben Williamson’s bases prop shows an edge of 3.0% at +670 odds, supported by a 16.0% probability according to our model.

Jo Adell over 0.5 to hit a home run (+850)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 15.6%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Jo Adell over 0.5 to hit a home run for Guardians, with a 15.6% probability and a 5.1% edge at +850 odds.

Ben Williamson over 0.5 to steal a base (+2000)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 10.9%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Ben Williamson over 0.5 to steal a base, supported by a 10.9% probability at +2000 odds and an edge of 6.1%.

Ryan Vilade over 0.5 to steal a base (+2100)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 8.4%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

A 3.9% edge on the over 0.5 to steal a base line makes Ryan Vilade a value play in Guardians vs. Rays, supported by a 8.4% probability at +2100 odds.

MLB Playoffs player prop summary: Monday, October 12, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:21PM ET:

Conclusion

For October 12, 2026, our MLB postseason prop bets feature players such as Foster Griffin, Drew Rasmussen and Jo Adell. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.